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Head to Head

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Derek Carr vs Jalen HurtsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jalen Hurts is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.8 PPG to Derek Carr's 15.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jalen Hurts is the better fantasy play this season.

Jalen Hurts is the better play on a neutral week. 18.8 PPG with 3,645 yards gives a reliable baseline. Derek Carr at 15.8 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jalen Hurts higher, but do not fade Derek Carr entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBNew Orleans Saints#99
Derek Carr
PPG
15.8
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,428
Pass TDs
22
Rush Yds
105
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 12
QBPhiladelphia Eagles#7PPG LEADER
Jalen Hurts
PPG
18.8
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,224
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
421
Rush TDs
8
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Derek Carr
Jalen Hurts

Head to Head

15.8 PPG18.8 PPG
15 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 12Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Derek Carr: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Jalen Hurts: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #7 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Derek Carr is producing at 72% of elite pace and Jalen Hurts at 85%. That ranking gap means Jalen Hurts carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Derek Carr vs Jalen Hurts: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Derek Carr and Jalen Hurts is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The New Orleans Saints quarterback put up 15.8 PPG in 2025 over 15 games; Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles averaged 18.8 in 16. A 3.0-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.0 points favors Jalen Hurts, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Jalen Hurts offers meaningful rushing upside with 421 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Derek Carr (3428 passing yards, 22 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Derek Carr has his bye in Week 12, and Jalen Hurts rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jalen Hurts is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Derek Carr is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Derek Carr (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jalen Hurts (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Jalen Hurts outscored Derek Carr by a projected 51 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jalen Hurts played 16 games in 2025 compared to Derek Carr's 15. That durability gap means Jalen Hurts contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jalen Hurts scored 33 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Jalen Hurts added 421 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Derek Carr vs Jalen Hurts: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDerek CarrJalen Hurts
PPG (Half-PPR)15.818.8
Games Played1516
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)237301
Passing Yards3,4283,224
Passing TDs2225
Pass Yds/Game228.5201.5
Rushing Yards105421
Rushing TDs18
Total TDs2333
TDs/Game1.52.1
Age-27
Experience-5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 12Week 10

Summary

18.8 PPG for Jalen Hurts versus 15.8 for Derek Carr in 2025. The baseline favors Jalen Hurts, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Derek Carr or Jalen Hurts in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jalen Hurts has the edge at 18.8 PPG compared to Derek Carr's 15.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Derek Carr and Jalen Hurts average in 2025?

Derek Carr averaged 15.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Jalen Hurts averaged 18.8 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 3.0 points per game.

When are Derek Carr and Jalen Hurts's bye weeks in 2026?

Derek Carr (NO) has a bye in Week 12, and Jalen Hurts (PHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Derek Carr or Jalen Hurts a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Jalen Hurts outscored Derek Carr by 3.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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