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Head to Head

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Brock Purdy vs Derek CarrWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Brock Purdy is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 19.7 PPG to Derek Carr's 15.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Brock Purdy is the better fantasy play this season.

Brock Purdy has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.9-PPG advantage is real (19.7 to 15.8), and Brock Purdy's 23 touchdowns show scoring upside. Derek Carr is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBSan Francisco 49ers#6PPG LEADER
Brock Purdy
PPG
19.7
Games
9
Pass Yds
2,167
Pass TDs
20
Rush Yds
147
Rush TDs
3
Bye
Week 8
QBNew Orleans Saints#99
Derek Carr
PPG
15.8
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,428
Pass TDs
22
Rush Yds
105
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brock Purdy
Derek Carr

Head to Head

19.7 PPG15.8 PPG
9 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Brock Purdy: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #6 at the position). Derek Carr: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Brock Purdy is producing at 90% of elite pace and Derek Carr at 72%. That ranking gap means Brock Purdy carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brock Purdy vs Derek Carr: The Full Breakdown

Brock Purdy and Derek Carr are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Brock Purdy averaged 19.7 PPG across 9 games with the San Francisco 49ers, while Derek Carr posted 15.8 PPG in 15 appearances for the New Orleans Saints.

A 3.9-PPG gap gives Brock Purdy the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Brock Purdy threw for 2167 yards and 20 touchdowns, while Derek Carr posted 3428 yards and 22 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Brock Purdy sits Week 8 while Derek Carr is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Brock Purdy at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Derek Carr is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Brock Purdy (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Derek Carr (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Brock Purdy outscored Derek Carr by a projected 66 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Derek Carr played 15 games in 2025 compared to Brock Purdy's 9. That durability gap means Derek Carr contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Brock Purdy scored 23 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brock Purdy vs Derek Carr: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrock PurdyDerek Carr
PPG (Half-PPR)19.715.8
Games Played915
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)177237
Passing Yards2,1673,428
Passing TDs2022
Pass Yds/Game240.8228.5
Rushing Yards147105
Rushing TDs31
Total TDs2323
TDs/Game2.61.5
Age26-
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 12

Summary

Brock Purdy outscored Derek Carr by 3.9 PPG in 2025 (19.7 to 15.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brock Purdy or Derek Carr in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Brock Purdy has the edge at 19.7 PPG compared to Derek Carr's 15.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brock Purdy and Derek Carr average in 2025?

Brock Purdy averaged 19.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Derek Carr averaged 15.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.9 points per game.

When are Brock Purdy and Derek Carr's bye weeks in 2026?

Brock Purdy (SF) has a bye in Week 8, and Derek Carr (NO) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brock Purdy or Derek Carr a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Brock Purdy outscored Derek Carr by 3.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.