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Regression

What does Regression mean?

Regression is the statistical tendency for a player to move back toward his expected average after an unusually good or bad stretch. Positive regression candidates have been unlucky and are due for upside; negative regression candidates have been lucky and are due to cool off.

Related terms

Expected Fantasy Points (xFP)Bust
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DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Put Regression into practice

Compare any two NFL players head to head, read full 2026 outlooks, and make weekly start or sit calls with AI-powered reasoning. DraftCall turns the vocabulary into wins.

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Free on the App Store and Google Play. $2.99/month premium.

Inside the app

  • DraftCall opening screen. Plain-English fantasy help, from your first draft to game day.
  • Compare screen. Pick any two players and DraftCall calls it in seconds, with PPR, half, standard, and TE premium scoring toggles.
  • Verdict screen. Start Joe Burrow over Lamar Jackson at 68.2 percent confidence, with key factors, boom and bust ranges, and a stat-by-stat tale of the tape.
  • Feed screen. Injuries, big games, and status changes filtered to your own players first.
  • My Team screen. Starters with points per game, plus bye week and start-sit views of the whole lineup.