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Head to Head

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Aidan O'Connell vs Russell WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Russell Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Russell Wilson edges Aidan O'Connell by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Russell Wilson goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBPittsburgh Steelers#99PPG LEADER
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Russell Wilson

Head to Head

12.8 PPG14.2 PPG
13 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Russell Wilson at 65%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Aidan O'Connell vs Russell Wilson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Aidan O'Connell finished the 2025 season at 12.8 PPG over 13 games with the Las Vegas Raiders, while Russell Wilson clocked in at 14.2 across 14 appearances for the Pittsburgh Steelers. A 1.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Russell Wilson posted 2890 yards and 18 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Aidan O'Connell is off Week 10 and Russell Wilson Week 9. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Russell Wilson outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Russell Wilson played 14 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Russell Wilson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Russell Wilson scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Russell Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellRussell Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)12.814.2
Games Played1314
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166199
Passing Yards2,6502,890
Passing TDs1618
Pass Yds/Game203.8206.4
Rushing Yards68155
Rushing TDs02
Total TDs1620
TDs/Game1.21.4
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 9

Summary

Russell Wilson outscored Aidan O'Connell by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (14.2 to 12.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Russell Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Russell Wilson has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Russell Wilson average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Russell Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Russell Wilson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Russell Wilson outscored Aidan O'Connell by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.