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Updated August 16, 2026 from live stats

Luther Burden III vs Mack HollinsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Luther Burden III over Mack Hollins in 2026.

Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG in 2025 to Mack Hollins's 6.0, a 1.0 point per game edge. Both play wide receivers, so that per-game gap is the cleanest tiebreaker for a 2026 start or sit.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Luther Burden III edges Mack Hollins by 1.0 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Luther Burden III goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRChicago Bears#60PPG LEADER

Luther Burden III

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

652

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

WRNew England Patriots#99

Mack Hollins

PPG

6.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

550

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Luther Burden III

Mack Hollins

Head to Head

7.0 PPG6.0 PPG

15 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Luther Burden III: Tier 3 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Mack Hollins: Unranked WR. Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Luther Burden III is producing at 32% of elite pace and Mack Hollins at 27%. That ranking gap means Luther Burden III carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Luther Burden III vs Mack Hollins: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Luther Burden III finished the 2025 season at 7.0 PPG over 15 games with the Chicago Bears, while Mack Hollins clocked in at 6.0 across 15 appearances for the New England Patriots. A 1.0-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Luther Burden III turned 60 targets into 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Mack Hollins converted 65 looks into 550 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Luther Burden III is off Week 10 and Mack Hollins Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Mack Hollins (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Luther Burden III outscored Mack Hollins by a projected 17 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luther Burden III scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Mack Hollins saw 65 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Luther Burden III is 10 years younger than Mack Hollins (22 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Luther Burden III vs Mack Hollins: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Luther Burden III	Mack Hollins
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.0	6.0
Games Played	15	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	105	90
Receptions	47	46
Rec/Game	3.1	3.1
Receiving Yards	652	550
Rec Yds/Game	43.5	36.7
Receiving TDs	2	2
Targets	60	65
Target Share/Game	4.0	4.3
Age	22	32
Experience	-	9 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 14

Summary

Luther Burden III outscored Mack Hollins by 1.0 PPG in 2025 (7.0 to 6.0). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Luther Burden III or Mack Hollins in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Luther Burden III has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Mack Hollins's 6.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Luther Burden III and Mack Hollins average in 2025?▾

Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.0 points per game.

When are Luther Burden III and Mack Hollins's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Mack Hollins (NE) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Luther Burden III or Mack Hollins a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Luther Burden III outscored Mack Hollins by 1.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.