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Head to Head

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Jaylen Warren vs Ray DavisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Ray Davis's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Jaylen Warren is the better play on a neutral week. 12.3 PPG with 1,291 yards gives a reliable baseline. Ray Davis at 7.8 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jaylen Warren higher, but do not fade Ray Davis entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 9
RBBuffalo Bills#99
Ray Davis
PPG
7.8
Games
15
Rush Yds
425
Rush TDs
3
Rec
22
Rec Yds
168
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jaylen Warren
Ray Davis

Head to Head

12.3 PPG7.8 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Ray Davis: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Jaylen Warren is producing at 56% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. That ranking gap means Jaylen Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jaylen Warren vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Jaylen Warren and Ray Davis for your lineup, you are not alone. Jaylen Warren finished the 2025 season at 12.3 PPG for the Pittsburgh Steelers (16 games), and Ray Davis averaged 7.8 for the Buffalo Bills (15 games).

That 4.5-point weekly advantage for Jaylen Warren is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Jaylen Warren is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 40 targets into 333 yards, while Ray Davis profiles as a more traditional rusher with 425 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Jaylen Warren carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One scheduling note: Jaylen Warren is off Week 9 and Ray Davis Week 12. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jaylen Warren is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Ray Davis is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Jaylen Warren outscored Ray Davis by a projected 77 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jaylen Warren played 16 games in 2025 compared to Ray Davis's 15. That durability gap means Jaylen Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jaylen Warren scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Jaylen Warren caught 40 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jaylen Warren vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJaylen WarrenRay Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)12.37.8
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)197117
Rushing Yards958425
Rush Yds/Game59.928.3
Rushing TDs63
Receptions4022
Receiving Yards333168
Targets450
Total TDs84
Age27-
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 12

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Jaylen Warren at 12.3 PPG, 4.5 points per game above Ray Davis's 7.8. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jaylen Warren or Ray Davis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Ray Davis's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Warren and Ray Davis average in 2025?

Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 4.5 points per game.

When are Jaylen Warren and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?

Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jaylen Warren or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Jaylen Warren outscored Ray Davis by 4.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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