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Head to Head

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James Conner vs Ray DavisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

James Conner is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.0 PPG to Ray Davis's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

James Conner is the better fantasy play this season.

James Conner has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.2-PPG advantage is real (11.0 to 7.8), and James Conner's 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Ray Davis is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBArizona Cardinals#99PPG LEADER
James Conner
PPG
11.0
Games
14
Rush Yds
752
Rush TDs
5
Rec
28
Rec Yds
218
Bye
Week 11
RBBuffalo Bills#99
Ray Davis
PPG
7.8
Games
15
Rush Yds
425
Rush TDs
3
Rec
22
Rec Yds
168
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
James Conner
Ray Davis

Head to Head

11.0 PPG7.8 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

James Conner: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Ray Davis: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, James Conner is producing at 50% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

James Conner vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

James Conner and Ray Davis are both viable fantasy running backs heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. James Conner averaged 11.0 PPG across 14 games with the Arizona Cardinals, while Ray Davis posted 7.8 PPG in 15 appearances for the Buffalo Bills.

A 3.2-PPG gap gives James Conner the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. James Conner ran for 752 yards and 5 touchdowns; Ray Davis posted 425 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: James Conner sits Week 11 while Ray Davis is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire James Conner at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Ray Davis is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: James Conner (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • James Conner outscored Ray Davis by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ray Davis played 15 games in 2025 compared to James Conner's 14. That durability gap means Ray Davis contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • James Conner scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

James Conner vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJames ConnerRay Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)11.07.8
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)154117
Rushing Yards752425
Rush Yds/Game53.728.3
Rushing TDs53
Receptions2822
Receiving Yards218168
Targets00
Total TDs64
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 12

Summary

James Conner outscored Ray Davis by 3.2 PPG in 2025 (11.0 to 7.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start James Conner or Ray Davis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, James Conner has the edge at 11.0 PPG compared to Ray Davis's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did James Conner and Ray Davis average in 2025?

James Conner averaged 11.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

When are James Conner and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?

James Conner (ARI) has a bye in Week 11, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is James Conner or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?

James Conner outscored Ray Davis by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.