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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Garrett Wilson vs Justin JeffersonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Garrett Wilson over Justin Jefferson in 2026.

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG in 2025 to Justin Jefferson's 9.4, a 2.2 point per game edge. Wilson posted that edge in only 7 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability. Both land in Tier 3 at the position, so this is closer than the raw gap suggests.

The Bottom Line

Garrett Wilson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.2-PPG advantage is real (11.6 to 9.4), and Garrett Wilson's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Justin Jefferson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRNew York Jets#16PPG LEADER
Garrett Wilson
PPG
11.6
Games
7
Rec
36
Rec Yds
395
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 13
WRMinnesota Vikings#37
Justin Jefferson
PPG
9.4
Games
17
Rec
84
Rec Yds
1,048
Rec TDs
2
Targets
141
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Garrett Wilson
Justin Jefferson

Head to Head

11.6 PPG9.4 PPG
7 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Justin Jefferson: Tier 3 (Deep League) WR (ranked #37 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Garrett Wilson is producing at 53% of elite pace and Justin Jefferson at 43%. That ranking gap means Garrett Wilson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Garrett Wilson vs Justin Jefferson: The Full Breakdown

Garrett Wilson and Justin Jefferson are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG across 7 games with the New York Jets, while Justin Jefferson posted 9.4 PPG in 17 appearances for the Minnesota Vikings.

A 2.2-PPG gap gives Garrett Wilson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Justin Jefferson, even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Garrett Wilson has his bye in Week 13, and Justin Jefferson rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Garrett Wilson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Justin Jefferson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Garrett Wilson outscored Justin Jefferson by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Justin Jefferson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Justin Jefferson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Garrett Wilson scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Garrett Wilson vs Justin Jefferson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatGarrett WilsonJustin Jefferson
PPG (Half-PPR)11.69.4
Games Played717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)81160
Receptions3684
Rec/Game5.14.9
Receiving Yards3951,048
Rec Yds/Game56.461.6
Receiving TDs42
Targets59141
Target Share/Game8.48.3
Age2627
Experience3 yrs5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 6

Summary

Garrett Wilson outscored Justin Jefferson by 2.2 PPG in 2025 (11.6 to 9.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Justin Jefferson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Garrett Wilson has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Justin Jefferson's 9.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Garrett Wilson and Justin Jefferson average in 2025?

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 7 games in 2025. Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Garrett Wilson and Justin Jefferson's bye weeks in 2026?

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Justin Jefferson (MIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Garrett Wilson or Justin Jefferson a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Garrett Wilson outscored Justin Jefferson by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.