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Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyreek HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Tyreek Hill over Deebo Samuel Sr. in 2026.

Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG in 2025 to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5, a 1.3 point per game edge. Hill posted that edge in only 4 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability. Both land in Tier 3 at the position, so this is closer than the raw gap suggests.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Tyreek Hill edges Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tyreek Hill goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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Track Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyreek Hill live in the DraftCall app.

WRWashington Commanders#36
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7
WRMiami Dolphins#20PPG LEADER
Tyreek Hill
PPG
10.8
Games
4
Rec
21
Rec Yds
265
Rec TDs
1
Targets
29
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Tyreek Hill

Head to Head

9.5 PPG10.8 PPG
16 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 3 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Tyreek Hill: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Deebo Samuel Sr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Tyreek Hill at 49%. That ranking gap means Tyreek Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyreek Hill: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Deebo Samuel Sr. finished the 2025 season at 9.5 PPG over 16 games with the Washington Commanders, while Tyreek Hill clocked in at 10.8 across 4 appearances for the Miami Dolphins. A 1.3-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Tyreek Hill drew 29. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Tyreek Hill posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Deebo Samuel Sr. is off Week 7 and Tyreek Hill Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Tyreek Hill (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Tyreek Hill outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyreek Hill's 4. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Tyreek Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDeebo Samuel Sr.Tyreek Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)9.510.8
Games Played164
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15243
Receptions7221
Rec/Game4.55.3
Receiving Yards727265
Rec Yds/Game45.466.3
Receiving TDs51
Targets9929
Target Share/Game6.27.3
Age3032
Experience6 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 6

Summary

Tyreek Hill outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.3 PPG in 2025 (10.8 to 9.5). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Tyreek Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyreek Hill has the edge at 10.8 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyreek Hill average in 2025?

Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyreek Hill averaged 10.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are Deebo Samuel Sr. and Tyreek Hill's bye weeks in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyreek Hill (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deebo Samuel Sr. or Tyreek Hill a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Tyreek Hill outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.