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Updated August 16, 2026 from live stats

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Garrett WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Garrett Wilson over Deebo Samuel Sr. in 2026.

Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG in 2025 to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5, a 2.1 point per game edge. Wilson posted that edge in only 7 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability. Both land in Tier 3 at the position, so this is closer than the raw gap suggests.

The Bottom Line

Garrett Wilson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.1-PPG advantage is real (11.6 to 9.5), and Garrett Wilson's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Deebo Samuel Sr. is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRWashington Commanders#36

Deebo Samuel Sr.

PPG

9.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

727

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

WRNew York Jets#16PPG LEADER

Garrett Wilson

PPG

11.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

395

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Garrett Wilson

Head to Head

9.5 PPG11.6 PPG

16 GP7 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 3 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Deebo Samuel Sr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Garrett Wilson at 53%. That ranking gap means Garrett Wilson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Garrett Wilson: The Full Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. and Garrett Wilson are both viable fantasy wide receivers heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG across 16 games with the Washington Commanders, while Garrett Wilson posted 11.6 PPG in 7 appearances for the New York Jets.

A 2.1-PPG gap gives Garrett Wilson the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has his bye in Week 7, and Garrett Wilson rests in Week 13. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Garrett Wilson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Garrett Wilson outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 36 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Garrett Wilson is 4 years younger than Deebo Samuel Sr. (26 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Garrett Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Deebo Samuel Sr.	Garrett Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)	9.5	11.6
Games Played	16	7
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	152	81
Receptions	72	36
Rec/Game	4.5	5.1
Receiving Yards	727	395
Rec Yds/Game	45.4	56.4
Receiving TDs	5	4
Targets	99	59
Target Share/Game	6.2	8.4
Age	30	26
Experience	6 yrs	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 13

Summary

Garrett Wilson outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 2.1 PPG in 2025 (11.6 to 9.5). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Garrett Wilson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Garrett Wilson has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Deebo Samuel Sr. and Garrett Wilson average in 2025?▾

Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG over 7 games. That is a difference of 2.1 points per game.

When are Deebo Samuel Sr. and Garrett Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7, and Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Deebo Samuel Sr. or Garrett Wilson a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Garrett Wilson outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 2.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.