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Updated August 16, 2026 from live stats

Dawson Knox vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Dawson Knox over Terrance Ferguson in 2026.

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 PPG in 2025 to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3, a 2.1 point per game edge. Both play tight ends, so that per-game gap is the cleanest tiebreaker for a 2026 start or sit.

The Bottom Line

Dawson Knox is the better play on a neutral week. 5.4 PPG with 417 yards gives a reliable baseline. Terrance Ferguson at 3.3 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Dawson Knox higher, but do not fade Terrance Ferguson entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#33PPG LEADER

Dawson Knox

PPG

5.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

417

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TELos Angeles Rams#99

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Dawson Knox

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

5.4 PPG3.3 PPG

16 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Unranked TE. Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. That ranking gap means Dawson Knox carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Dawson Knox and Terrance Ferguson for your lineup, you are not alone. Dawson Knox finished the 2025 season at 5.4 PPG for the Buffalo Bills (16 games), and Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 for the Los Angeles Rams (14 games).

That 2.1-point weekly advantage for Dawson Knox is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Dawson Knox is the volume tight end in this matchup with 36 receptions for 417 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Dawson Knox, but the floor gap is real.

Dawson Knox has his bye in Week 7, and Terrance Ferguson rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Dawson Knox outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 36 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Dawson Knox played 16 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means Dawson Knox contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dawson Knox scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Dawson Knox saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Terrance Ferguson is 6 years younger than Dawson Knox (23 vs 29), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dawson Knox	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.4	3.3
Games Played	16	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	86	46
Receptions	36	11
Rec/Game	2.3	0.8
Receiving Yards	417	231
Rec Yds/Game	26.1	16.5
Receiving TDs	4	3
Targets	49	25
Target Share/Game	3.1	1.8
Age	29	23
Experience	6 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Dawson Knox at 5.4 PPG, 2.1 points per game above Terrance Ferguson's 3.3. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dawson Knox has the edge at 5.4 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 2.1 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox outscored Terrance Ferguson by 2.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.