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Courtland Sutton vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Courtland Sutton and Tetairoa McMillan are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRDenver Broncos#21PPG LEADER
Courtland Sutton
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
74
Rec Yds
1,017
Rec TDs
7
Targets
124
Bye
Week 10
WRCarolina Panthers#26
Tetairoa McMillan
PPG
10.5
Games
17
Rec
70
Rec Yds
1,014
Rec TDs
7
Targets
122
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Courtland Sutton
Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

10.7 PPG10.5 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Courtland Sutton: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #21 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Courtland Sutton is producing at 49% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. That ranking gap means Courtland Sutton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Courtland Sutton vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Courtland Sutton (10.7 PPG) and Tetairoa McMillan (10.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Courtland Sutton played 17 games for the Denver Broncos; Tetairoa McMillan suited up 17 times for the Carolina Panthers.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Courtland Sutton turned 124 targets into 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tetairoa McMillan converted 122 looks into 1014 yards and 7 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Courtland Sutton sits Week 10 while Tetairoa McMillan is off Week 5. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Courtland Sutton (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Courtland Sutton outscored Tetairoa McMillan by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Courtland Sutton scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Tetairoa McMillan is 7 years younger than Courtland Sutton (23 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Courtland Sutton vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCourtland SuttonTetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)10.710.5
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)182179
Receptions7470
Rec/Game4.44.1
Receiving Yards1,0171,014
Rec Yds/Game59.859.6
Receiving TDs77
Targets124122
Target Share/Game7.37.2
Age3023
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 5

Summary

10.7 PPG for Courtland Sutton versus 10.5 for Tetairoa McMillan in 2025. The baseline favors Courtland Sutton, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Courtland Sutton or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Courtland Sutton has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Courtland Sutton and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?

Courtland Sutton averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Courtland Sutton and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?

Courtland Sutton (DEN) has a bye in Week 10, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Courtland Sutton or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Courtland Sutton outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.