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Updated from live stats

Alec Pierce vs Darren WallerWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Alec Pierce over Darren Waller in 2026.

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 PPG in 2025 to Darren Waller's 9.6, a 1.1 point per game edge. Pierce also stayed healthier, playing 15 games to 8, which steadies his weekly floor. Alec Pierce is Tier 3 among wide receivers, Darren Waller is Tier 2 among tight ends.

The Bottom Line

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Alec Pierce (10.7 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Darren Waller (9.6 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#22PPG LEADER
Alec Pierce
PPG
10.7
Games
15
Rec
47
Rec Yds
1,003
Rec TDs
6
Targets
84
Bye
Week 13
TEMiami Dolphins#8
Darren Waller
PPG
9.6
Games
8
Rec
24
Rec Yds
283
Rec TDs
6
Targets
34
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Alec Pierce
Darren Waller

Head to Head

10.7 PPG9.6 PPG
15 GP8 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Alec Pierce: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #22 at the position). Darren Waller: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #8 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE in most league formats.

Alec Pierce vs Darren Waller: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Alec Pierce (WR, Indianapolis Colts) against Darren Waller (TE, Miami Dolphins) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 PPG in 2025 over 15 games, while Darren Waller posted 9.6 PPG across 8 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Alec Pierce has his bye in Week 13, Darren Waller in Week 6. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alec Pierce (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Darren Waller (age 33) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Alec Pierce outscored Darren Waller by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Alec Pierce played 15 games in 2025 compared to Darren Waller's 8. That durability gap means Alec Pierce contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Alec Pierce scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Alec Pierce saw 84 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Alec Pierce is 7 years younger than Darren Waller (26 vs 33), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alec Pierce vs Darren Waller: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAlec PierceDarren Waller
PPG (Half-PPR)10.79.6
Games Played158
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)16177
Receptions4724
Rec/Game3.13.0
Receiving Yards1,003283
Rec Yds/Game66.935.4
Receiving TDs66
Targets8434
Target Share/Game5.64.3
Age2633
Experience3 yrs10 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Alec Pierce holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Darren Waller averaged 9.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alec Pierce or Darren Waller in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Alec Pierce has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Darren Waller's 9.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alec Pierce and Darren Waller average in 2025?

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Darren Waller averaged 9.6 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Alec Pierce and Darren Waller's bye weeks in 2026?

Alec Pierce (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Darren Waller (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.