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Head to Head

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Aidan O'Connell vs Lamar JacksonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Lamar Jackson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.5 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Lamar Jackson is the better fantasy play this season.

Lamar Jackson has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (16.5 to 12.8), and Lamar Jackson's 23 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aidan O'Connell is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBBaltimore Ravens#16PPG LEADER
Lamar Jackson
PPG
16.5
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,549
Pass TDs
21
Rush Yds
349
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Lamar Jackson

Head to Head

12.8 PPG16.5 PPG
13 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Lamar Jackson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Lamar Jackson at 75%. That ranking gap means Lamar Jackson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Lamar Jackson: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aidan O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders) finished the 2025 season averaging 12.8 fantasy points per game in 13 games. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) came in at 16.5 PPG over 13 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Lamar Jackson carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Lamar Jackson posted 2549 yards and 21 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aidan O'Connell sits Week 10 while Lamar Jackson is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Lamar Jackson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aidan O'Connell is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Lamar Jackson (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Lamar Jackson outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Lamar Jackson scored 23 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Lamar Jackson added 349 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Lamar Jackson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellLamar Jackson
PPG (Half-PPR)12.816.5
Games Played1313
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166215
Passing Yards2,6502,549
Passing TDs1621
Pass Yds/Game203.8196.1
Rushing Yards68349
Rushing TDs02
Total TDs1623
TDs/Game1.21.8
Age-29
Experience-7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Lamar Jackson holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.5 points per game. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Lamar Jackson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Lamar Jackson has the edge at 16.5 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Lamar Jackson average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Lamar Jackson's bye weeks in 2026?

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Lamar Jackson (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Lamar Jackson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Lamar Jackson outscored Aidan O'Connell by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.