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Aidan O'Connell vs Bo NixWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Bo Nix is the better fantasy play this season.

Bo Nix is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 17.9 PPG and 4,287 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aidan O'Connell (12.8 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Bo Nix as the starter and Aidan O'Connell as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10
QBDenver Broncos#11PPG LEADER
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aidan O'Connell
Bo Nix

Head to Head

12.8 PPG17.9 PPG
13 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Bo Nix at 81%. That ranking gap means Bo Nix carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Bo Nix: The Full Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell and Bo Nix are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG across 13 games with the Las Vegas Raiders, while Bo Nix posted 17.9 PPG in 17 appearances for the Denver Broncos.

A 5.1-PPG gap gives Bo Nix the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Bo Nix posted 3931 yards and 25 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Bo Nix at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aidan O'Connell is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Bo Nix outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 87 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bo Nix played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Bo Nix contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Bo Nix scored 30 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Bo Nix added 356 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Bo Nix: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAidan O'ConnellBo Nix
PPG (Half-PPR)12.817.9
Games Played1317
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)166304
Passing Yards2,6503,931
Passing TDs1625
Pass Yds/Game203.8231.2
Rushing Yards68356
Rushing TDs05
Total TDs1630
TDs/Game1.21.8
Age-26
Experience-1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 10

Summary

Bo Nix outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.1 PPG in 2025 (17.9 to 12.8). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Bo Nix in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bo Nix has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Bo Nix average in 2025?

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Bo Nix averaged 17.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.1 points per game.

Do Aidan O'Connell and Bo Nix share a bye week?

Yes, both Aidan O'Connell and Bo Nix share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Bo Nix a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Bo Nix outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.