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Head to Head

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Aaron Rodgers vs Aidan O'ConnellWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Aaron Rodgers and Aidan O'Connell are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.4-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25PPG LEADER
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBLas Vegas Raiders#99
Aidan O'Connell
PPG
12.8
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,650
Pass TDs
16
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Aidan O'Connell

Head to Head

14.2 PPG12.8 PPG
16 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Aidan O'Connell at 58%. That ranking gap means Aaron Rodgers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Aidan O'Connell: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Aaron Rodgers and Aidan O'Connell is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG with the Pittsburgh Steelers across 16 games, and Aidan O'Connell posted 12.8 with the Las Vegas Raiders in 13.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Aidan O'Connell posted 2650 yards and 16 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 9, and Aidan O'Connell rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Rodgers outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Aidan O'Connell: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersAidan O'Connell
PPG (Half-PPR)14.212.8
Games Played1613
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227166
Passing Yards3,3222,650
Passing TDs2416
Pass Yds/Game207.6203.8
Rushing Yards6168
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs2516
TDs/Game1.61.2
Age42-
Experience20 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Aaron Rodgers at 14.2 PPG, 1.4 points per game above Aidan O'Connell's 12.8. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Aidan O'Connell in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Rodgers has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Aidan O'Connell average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Aidan O'Connell's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Aidan O'Connell a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers outscored Aidan O'Connell by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.