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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Aaron Jones vs Ty JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Aaron Jones over Ty Johnson in 2026.

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 to Ty Johnson's 5.2, a 3.5 point per game edge. Jones posted that edge in only 12 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Jones has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.5-PPG advantage is real (8.7 to 5.2), and Aaron Jones's 3 touchdowns show scoring upside. Ty Johnson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34PPG LEADER
Aaron Jones
PPG
8.7
Games
12
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
2
Rec
28
Rec Yds
199
Bye
Week 6
RBBuffalo Bills#99
Ty Johnson
PPG
5.2
Games
17
Rush Yds
200
Rush TDs
3
Rec
24
Rec Yds
263
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Jones
Ty Johnson

Head to Head

8.7 PPG5.2 PPG
12 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 6 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Ty Johnson: Unranked RB. Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Ty Johnson at 24%. That ranking gap means Aaron Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Ty Johnson: The Full Breakdown

Aaron Jones and Ty Johnson are both viable fantasy running backs heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 PPG across 12 games with the Minnesota Vikings, while Ty Johnson posted 5.2 PPG in 17 appearances for the Buffalo Bills.

A 3.5-PPG gap gives Aaron Jones the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Aaron Jones ran for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns; Ty Johnson posted 200 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Jones sits Week 6 while Ty Johnson is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Aaron Jones at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Ty Johnson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ty Johnson (age 28, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Jones outscored Ty Johnson by a projected 59 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ty Johnson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Jones's 12. That durability gap means Ty Johnson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ty Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Jones vs Ty Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron JonesTy Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.75.2
Games Played1217
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10488
Rushing Yards548200
Rush Yds/Game45.711.8
Rushing TDs23
Receptions2824
Receiving Yards199263
Targets4133
Total TDs35
Age3128
Experience8 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 12

Summary

Aaron Jones outscored Ty Johnson by 3.5 PPG in 2025 (8.7 to 5.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Ty Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Jones has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Ty Johnson's 5.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Ty Johnson average in 2025?

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Ty Johnson averaged 5.2 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

When are Aaron Jones and Ty Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Jones (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Ty Johnson (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Jones or Ty Johnson a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Aaron Jones outscored Ty Johnson by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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