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Head to Head

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Aaron Jones vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Aaron Jones is the better play on a neutral week. 8.7 PPG with 747 yards gives a reliable baseline. Nick Chubb at 5.5 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Aaron Jones higher, but do not fade Nick Chubb entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34PPG LEADER
Aaron Jones
PPG
8.7
Games
12
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
2
Rec
28
Rec Yds
199
Bye
Week 6
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Jones
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

8.7 PPG5.5 PPG
12 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Aaron Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Aaron Jones and Nick Chubb is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Minnesota Vikings running back put up 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 12 games; Nick Chubb of the Houston Texans averaged 5.5 in 15. A 3.2-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.2 points favors Aaron Jones, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one running back to the other.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Aaron Jones ran for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Jones sits Week 6 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Aaron Jones is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Nick Chubb is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Jones outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Jones's 12. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Jones scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Jones vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron JonesNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)8.75.5
Games Played1215
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10483
Rushing Yards548506
Rush Yds/Game45.733.7
Rushing TDs23
Receptions2813
Receiving Yards19967
Targets4120
Total TDs33
Age3130
Experience8 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 8

Summary

8.7 PPG for Aaron Jones versus 5.5 for Nick Chubb in 2025. The baseline favors Aaron Jones, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Jones has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

When are Aaron Jones and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Jones (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Jones or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Aaron Jones outscored Nick Chubb by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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