Head to Head

Updated June 5, 2026 from live stats

Michael Carter vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Michael Carter is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.3 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Michael Carter is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Michael Carter and Nick Chubb are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.8-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBArizona Cardinals#51PPG LEADER

Michael Carter

PPG

6.3

Games

Rush Yds

333

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

267

Bye

Week 14

RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Michael Carter

Nick Chubb

Head to Head

6.3 PPG5.5 PPG

13 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Michael Carter: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #51 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Michael Carter is producing at 29% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Michael Carter carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Michael Carter vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Michael Carter finished the 2025 season at 6.3 PPG over 13 games with the Arizona Cardinals, while Nick Chubb clocked in at 5.5 across 15 appearances for the Houston Texans. A 0.8-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Michael Carter ran for 333 yards and 1 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Michael Carter is off Week 14 and Nick Chubb Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Michael Carter (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Michael Carter outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Nick Chubb played 15 games in 2025 compared to Michael Carter's 13. That durability gap means Nick Chubb contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Nick Chubb scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Michael Carter caught 33 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Michael Carter vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Michael Carter	Nick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)	6.3	5.5
Games Played	13	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	82	83
Rushing Yards	333	506
Rush Yds/Game	25.6	33.7
Rushing TDs	1	3
Receptions	33	13
Receiving Yards	267	67
Targets	45	20
Total TDs	1	3
Age	27	30
Experience	4 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 8

Summary

6.3 PPG for Michael Carter versus 5.5 for Nick Chubb in 2025. The baseline favors Michael Carter, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Michael Carter or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Michael Carter has the edge at 6.3 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Michael Carter and Nick Chubb average in 2025?▾

Michael Carter averaged 6.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Michael Carter and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Michael Carter (ARI) has a bye in Week 14, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Michael Carter or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Michael Carter outscored Nick Chubb by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.