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Head to Head

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Kyle Pitts vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyle Pitts is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.8 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyle Pitts is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyle Pitts is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 9.8 PPG and 928 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Terrance Ferguson (3.3 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Kyle Pitts as the starter and Terrance Ferguson as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEAtlanta Falcons#6PPG LEADER
Kyle Pitts
PPG
9.8
Games
17
Rec
88
Rec Yds
928
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 11
TELos Angeles Rams#99
Terrance Ferguson
PPG
3.3
Games
14
Rec
11
Rec Yds
231
Rec TDs
3
Targets
25
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Kyle Pitts
Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

9.8 PPG3.3 PPG
17 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Kyle Pitts: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #6 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Kyle Pitts is producing at 45% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. That ranking gap means Kyle Pitts carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Kyle Pitts vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Kyle Pitts put up 9.8 fantasy points per game for the Atlanta Falcons in 2025, while Terrance Ferguson managed 3.3 across 14 games with the Los Angeles Rams. A 6.5-point weekly edge is substantial at the tight end position.

A 6.5-PPG gap gives Kyle Pitts the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Kyle Pitts is the volume tight end in this matchup with 88 receptions for 928 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Kyle Pitts, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Kyle Pitts sits Week 11 while Terrance Ferguson is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Kyle Pitts at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Terrance Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Kyle Pitts (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Kyle Pitts outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 111 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Kyle Pitts played 17 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means Kyle Pitts contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Kyle Pitts scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Kyle Pitts saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Kyle Pitts vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatKyle PittsTerrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)9.83.3
Games Played1714
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)16746
Receptions8811
Rec/Game5.20.8
Receiving Yards928231
Rec Yds/Game54.616.5
Receiving TDs53
Targets11825
Target Share/Game6.91.8
Age2523
Experience4 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 11Week 6

Summary

Kyle Pitts outscored Terrance Ferguson by 6.5 PPG in 2025 (9.8 to 3.3). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Kyle Pitts or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyle Pitts has the edge at 9.8 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Kyle Pitts and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?

Kyle Pitts averaged 9.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 6.5 points per game.

When are Kyle Pitts and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?

Kyle Pitts (ATL) has a bye in Week 11, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Kyle Pitts or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Kyle Pitts outscored Terrance Ferguson by 6.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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