Head to Head

Updated June 5, 2026 from live stats

Jaylen Warren vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Jaylen Warren outscored Nick Chubb by 6.8 PPG in 2025 with 8 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Jaylen Warren is the clear pick. Nick Chubb profiles as a matchup-dependent running back who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER

Jaylen Warren

PPG

12.3

Games

Rush Yds

958

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

333

Bye

Week 9

RBHouston Texans#59

Nick Chubb

PPG

5.5

Games

Rush Yds

506

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Jaylen Warren

Nick Chubb

Head to Head

12.3 PPG5.5 PPG

16 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Jaylen Warren is producing at 56% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Jaylen Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jaylen Warren vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Jaylen Warren put up 12.3 fantasy points per game for the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2025, while Nick Chubb managed 5.5 across 15 games with the Houston Texans. A 6.8-point weekly edge is substantial at the running back position.

That 6.8-point weekly advantage for Jaylen Warren is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Jaylen Warren is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 40 targets into 333 yards, while Nick Chubb profiles as a more traditional rusher with 506 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Jaylen Warren carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Jaylen Warren sits Week 9 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jaylen Warren is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Nick Chubb is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jaylen Warren outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 116 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jaylen Warren played 16 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Jaylen Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jaylen Warren scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Jaylen Warren caught 40 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jaylen Warren vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jaylen Warren	Nick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.3	5.5
Games Played	16	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	197	83
Rushing Yards	958	506
Rush Yds/Game	59.9	33.7
Rushing TDs	6	3
Receptions	40	13
Receiving Yards	333	67
Targets	45	20
Total TDs	8	3
Age	27	30
Experience	3 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 9	Week 8

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Jaylen Warren at 12.3 PPG, 6.8 points per game above Nick Chubb's 5.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jaylen Warren or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Warren and Nick Chubb average in 2025?▾

Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 6.8 points per game.

When are Jaylen Warren and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jaylen Warren or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Jaylen Warren outscored Nick Chubb by 6.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.