Head to Head

Updated June 5, 2026 from live stats

Dawson Knox vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.4 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dawson Knox is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Dawson Knox and Noah Gray are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.8-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEBuffalo Bills#33PPG LEADER

Dawson Knox

PPG

5.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

417

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEKansas City Chiefs#99

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Dawson Knox

Noah Gray

Head to Head

5.4 PPG4.6 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dawson Knox is producing at 25% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That ranking gap means Dawson Knox carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dawson Knox vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Dawson Knox (5.4 PPG) and Noah Gray (4.6 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Dawson Knox played 16 games for the Buffalo Bills; Noah Gray suited up 17 times for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 0.8-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dawson Knox had 36 catches for 417 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Dawson Knox sits Week 7 while Noah Gray is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dawson Knox outscored Noah Gray by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dawson Knox's 16. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dawson Knox scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dawson Knox vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Dawson Knox	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.4	4.6
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	86	78
Receptions	36	38
Rec/Game	2.3	2.2
Receiving Yards	417	385
Rec Yds/Game	26.1	22.6
Receiving TDs	4	2
Targets	49	50
Target Share/Game	3.1	2.9
Age	29	-
Experience	6 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

5.4 PPG for Dawson Knox versus 4.6 for Noah Gray in 2025. The baseline favors Dawson Knox, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dawson Knox or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dawson Knox has the edge at 5.4 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dawson Knox and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Dawson Knox and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dawson Knox or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dawson Knox outscored Noah Gray by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.