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Head to Head

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David Montgomery vs Ray DavisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

David Montgomery is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.1 PPG to Ray Davis's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

David Montgomery is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. David Montgomery edges Ray Davis by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, David Montgomery goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBDetroit Lions#33PPG LEADER
David Montgomery
PPG
9.1
Games
17
Rush Yds
716
Rush TDs
8
Rec
24
Rec Yds
192
Bye
Week 6
RBBuffalo Bills#99
Ray Davis
PPG
7.8
Games
15
Rush Yds
425
Rush TDs
3
Rec
22
Rec Yds
168
Bye
Week 12

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
David Montgomery
Ray Davis

Head to Head

9.1 PPG7.8 PPG
17 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

David Montgomery: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #33 at the position). Ray Davis: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, David Montgomery is producing at 41% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. That ranking gap means David Montgomery carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

David Montgomery vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

The gap between David Montgomery and Ray Davis is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.3 PPG in 2025, this is one of those running back decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. David Montgomery averaged 9.1 PPG with the Detroit Lions across 17 games, and Ray Davis posted 7.8 with the Buffalo Bills in 15.

When two running backs are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. David Montgomery ran for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns; Ray Davis posted 425 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

David Montgomery has his bye in Week 6, and Ray Davis rests in Week 12. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at running back for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: David Montgomery (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • David Montgomery outscored Ray Davis by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • David Montgomery played 17 games in 2025 compared to Ray Davis's 15. That durability gap means David Montgomery contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • David Montgomery scored 9 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

David Montgomery vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavid MontgomeryRay Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)9.17.8
Games Played1715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)155117
Rushing Yards716425
Rush Yds/Game42.128.3
Rushing TDs83
Receptions2422
Receiving Yards192168
Targets290
Total TDs94
Age28-
Experience6 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 12

Summary

Based on 2025 production, David Montgomery holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.1 points per game. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start David Montgomery or Ray Davis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, David Montgomery has the edge at 9.1 PPG compared to Ray Davis's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did David Montgomery and Ray Davis average in 2025?

David Montgomery averaged 9.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are David Montgomery and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?

David Montgomery (DET) has a bye in Week 6, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is David Montgomery or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?

David Montgomery outscored Ray Davis by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.